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2-12                      Economics — A Primer                                   [CH 2



                                          over $27.5 trillion—is  beyond most  people's  comprehension. However, one  could
                                          consider that if one were to spend $38,500 per minute, it would take the individual
                                          2,700 years to spend this amount. This figure represents a debt  for each citizen  of

                                          $83,250 at birth that continues to grow;  it becomes a debt  on their  children and
                                          children’s children two or three generations. There are those who like to say that the
                                          national debt is a  debt that  we  owe ourselves. If that  be the case, then maybe we
                                          should “forgive  us  our  debts.”  As that will not  happen,  forgiveness, then we may

                                          conclude that the national debt is not a debt we owe ourselves.

                                          The Federal Deficit influences the Interest Rate you pay
                                             Each year that Congress establishes its spending budget, it does so in the hope that
                                          there will be sufficient income (tax revenues) to meet its expenditures. Congress has

                                          income estimates that indicate there is always not enough revenue. So Congress must
                                          make up this  difference to  have  a balanced budget, the difference is  made up by
                                          borrowing money. And this borrowed money is called  “the  Federal  Deficit” and
                                          becomes debt added to the National Debt each year.

                    Rate of Interest/        Money is a commodity just like hamburgers, and its price is known as the rate of
                    Interest rate:        interest.  Interest rate  is a percentage of debt  paid the lender  by the  borrower.
                    Percentage of a sum of   Individual consumers,  businesses, and  government (federal, state, and local) all
                    money charged for its   compete to borrow money at the lowest possible interest rate. Because the federal
                    use (the cost of money).
                    The interest rate,    government must borrow so much every year to finance its operation, it competes with
                    expressed as a        businesses and private borrowing. By government not managing its expenditures with
                    percentage, is used to   its revenues (taxes collected), it goes into the money market and buys up (borrows) the
                    calculate the amount of   money supply. Thus it has  a great influence in driving  up interest  rates when the
                    interest due (cost of
                    borrowing) per period,   federal government, and even state governments, has to borrow money to make up the
                    as a proportion of the   difference between tax revenues and congressional spending.
                    amount lent, deposited   Business fears rising interest rates because this makes the cost of borrowed money
                    or borrowed (called the   more expensive. More expensive money makes consumer spending more expensive,
                    principal sum).
                                          and consumers respond by spending less. Less consumer spending threatens economic
                                          recession. Many economists believe rising interest rates could make it more difficult
                                          for the government to reduce the deficit; they see the deficit and high interest rates
                                          would breeding a self-perpetuating cycle.

                                             Businesses that want to borrow money for expansion or replacement of plant and
                                          equipment hold  off  from, or do  not make capital improvements because of  higher
                                          interest rates. Their costs increase and under pressure they pass these higher costs on
                                          to consumers by raising prices.
                                             Lower Interest rates and reducing income tax rates has a tendency to stimulate an
                                          economy. This stimulation results in encouraging consumers to spend more, business

                                          to expand  by  replacing plant equipment, and reinvesting in capital  goods.  For the
                                          merchant this could mean opening  new  stores  with increased inventory in more
                                          locations; for the manufacturer replacing manufacturing equipment with newer models
                                          and or adding more product lines to produce; for the cattleman expanding their land

                                          holdings, and purchasing  more breeding livestock.  With improved production
                                          equipment overall productivity increase reducing the cost of  goods. Lower cost of
                                          goods result in more consumer purchasing. Increased consumer spending increases
                                          total revenues and also increases total government tax revenues; as profits increase the

                                          amount of income tax dollars also increases in direct proportion.

                                          A Strong Dollar and Growing Trade
                                             When  deficits and tight money policy press interest  rates higher and encourage
                                          capital from abroad, the value (purchasing power) of the dollar jumps in comparison to
                                          the value of other currencies.
                                             As a  result,  American  goods cost more abroad and foreign  goods become less
                                          expensive  for  U.S. consumers to buy.  Americans benefit from the  dollar's strength
                                          when they bought Japanese cars and electronic equipment, Reeboks and other shoes



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